Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 7.678586 8.476423 9.344198 10.361936 11.527647 12.826797 14.392077
2026-01-04 6.674790 7.747940 8.994702 10.563964 12.505952 14.856373 17.956645
2026-01-11 5.866426 7.032974 8.447658 10.314381 12.750643 15.876816 20.283635
2026-01-18 5.480020 6.752096 8.352507 10.553263 13.565079 17.641976 23.759666
2026-01-25 5.016694 6.312979 7.991070 10.375049 13.764494 18.558287 26.140275
2026-02-01 4.651588 5.961656 7.700411 10.242864 13.983781 19.491389 28.641915
2026-02-08 4.331910 5.640802 7.416212 10.079250 14.119803 20.289847 31.020520
2026-02-15 4.041623 5.336108 7.125760 9.871373 14.153428 20.913005 33.177639
2026-02-22 3.831767 5.127496 6.952512 9.815326 14.404394 21.896021 36.095255
2026-03-01 3.567068 4.822821 6.617101 9.480809 14.171410 22.036226 37.478860
2026-03-08 3.292966 4.488773 6.216998 9.013716 13.674985 21.662686 37.811069
2026-03-15 3.121102 4.295214 6.014856 8.843364 13.655882 22.120679 39.850890
2026-03-22 3.182441 4.456275 6.368062 9.608723 15.339593 25.932188 49.701699
2026-03-29 3.100545 4.394884 6.371252 9.794281 16.019511 27.954731 56.171189
2026-04-05 2.936303 4.196795 6.144316 9.567780 15.916264 28.405801 59.060061
2026-04-12 2.877364 4.159430 6.172543 9.784485 16.666761 30.708385 67.081034
2026-04-19 2.747810 4.003058 5.996038 9.622831 16.665597 31.409328 71.114616
2026-04-26 2.635805 3.869233 5.849080 9.502880 16.733671 32.269574 75.811576
2026-05-03 2.526455 3.734499 5.693031 9.354347 16.727979 32.960245 80.211519
2026-05-10 2.417290 3.595201 5.521916 9.165534 16.620267 33.397868 83.978006
2026-05-17 2.338969 3.503311 5.427339 9.114608 16.798258 34.545382 90.330556
2026-05-24 2.223045 3.344126 5.208332 8.810488 16.402956 34.227383 91.766369
2026-05-31 2.093621 3.157913 4.934609 8.385345 15.710825 33.085665 90.129483